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Draft discussion
Last post 10-27-2008, 7:40 AM by Tempus. 10 replies.
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10-20-2008, 10:22 AM |
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10-20-2008, 10:31 AM |
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10-21-2008, 1:35 PM |
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caelon
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Joined on 10-04-2006
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Posts 395
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Well, if nothing else, the sunny outlook from some of the scouts makes it seem like there will be a good influx of new talent with this draft class. However, if the "doom and gloom" NY scout is correct, all but a few of the players drafted will probably struggle... in T-Ball... and if you're a pitcher who struggles in T-ball, then you really have a problem...  We'll see how it works out. I do hope my scout isn't right though, because if he's on the mark, this draft class was worse than the previous one. The scout for Bowie though thinks he can find a 20-game winner in the fourth round...
Caelon GM New York Empire
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10-22-2008, 8:37 AM |
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Marduk
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Joined on 10-03-2006
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Chattooga Eagles
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Posts 268
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Similar stuff here, my scout absolutely loves my picks so far ...
I got two 5 stars in the first round, Pantoja is 10/10/10 and Taylor is 10/9/10 to him.
The guy I grabbed in the 2nd round was my #7 overall pick based on scout ratings heh
So it's definitely weird.
GM of Chattooga Eagles The Eagle's Nest
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10-22-2008, 9:06 AM |
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Emrysx
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Joined on 10-02-2006
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Homer Yetis
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Posts 1,445
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Yeah, there is quite a bit of variance in the scouts. We can always look at tweaking the settings next year, but so far I'm not sure the variance is really a bad thing.
Plus, we'll all get to know the new scouting system and feel a little more in control of it next year. We might want to tweak our budget settings and scout projections, etc.
If you take the very high level view of things though, even if scouts are less accurate then without scouts at all, even without scouts it was just as common for 1st rounders to bomb as to bust.
Not to mention that OOTP9 has a new version of player development, etc. Hopefully the end result will be a more fun draft experience, with more uncertainty as to how your picks will really pan out.
Granted, you do want high draft picks to have a better chance at being good, which is the whole idea behind the draft order being as it is. We will just have to see, but I can honestly say I'm having more fun with this draft than I have in OOTP in a long time.
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10-22-2008, 12:25 PM |
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10-22-2008, 12:25 PM |
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10-22-2008, 12:26 PM |
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Emrysx
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Joined on 10-02-2006
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Homer Yetis
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Posts 1,445
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caelon:Yeah, the NY scout has Eric Bond as a one-star,
6/6/5 guy. Bowie's scount, Mr. Sunshine, saw him as 8/7/6 and a couple
stars, rating his stuff as "Great potential." So who knows. I'm
guessing that the player development algorithms might have been tuned
such that a fair number of these players will eventually, hopefully,
get talent increases, and the scouts are mostly just guessing where
they'll fall. Especially with the pitching... but in MLB, they often
say "There's no such thing as a pitching prospect."  What
level of scout ability are we using? What level is the "OSA" set at?
We won't know for a few seasons probably, but if scouting ends up being
way off the mark often enough, we might consider raising the quality of
both a bit more, if it will help. I do like to see some difference in
scouting between teams - gives some personality and variety - but I,
too, am a bit concerned by the vast differences between various scouts
with the same exact ability ratings. Guess time will tell. 
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10-22-2008, 12:38 PM |
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10-22-2008, 2:32 PM |
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Emrysx
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Joined on 10-02-2006
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Homer Yetis
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Posts 1,445
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I posted this somewhere here or in an email, but recall what the manual says about projection: Scouting Director that favors ability will base players' potential
ratings on what the player can already do and project what he thinks
the player will become in the future. Think of this type of scout as
more of a "Moneyball" scout.
The director that favors tools will base
the players' potential ratings on the maximum peak the player could
achieve. In theory, a scout that favors tools will find more
superstars, while a scout that favors ability will find more
serviceable major league players.
I read this as saying that favor ability will be a more conservative judge of amateurs. They all have fairly low current ability, and this type of scout will probably be more accurate with current player abilities (majors). I could see this resulting in lower overall ratings. As for tools, I see this as ignoring their current ratings, but looking more at their potential. So favoring ability will give you more conservative, serviceable players, and probably be more accurate with major league scouting, while favoring tools will give you the occasional superstar in return for less consistently serviceable players. I don't know whether this would be more accurate for amateurs than majors or not. Add to this the whole budget allocation thing, which also could influence accuracy, and THEN, the scouting director's scouting ratings. In any event, this is my interpretation of what the manual says. I could be wrong.
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10-27-2008, 7:40 AM |
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